Setareh Sabety: My Assessment of today 22bahman
A journalist friend asked me what I thought of today's events and I thought I'd share it with everyone. This is just a distant and tired witness' assessment of a day that is still not over and where not all reports and clip have yet arrived.Today did not seem as big as Ashura at all. Although there are some reports and Jaras is tellling people to assemble in the evening. People have been prevented from going near SedaSima (tv station) or Evin (prison). The clips show such a huge lack of coordination and street-level leadership. The students that seemed to do the organizing in 16th azar are now all in jail it seems. So unless dramatic new footage comes in or the scattered protests are prolonged into the night then it is a slight disappointment for the greens and not as huge a protest as predicted.
The big points won are: one, the brutal treatment of Rahnavard and Karoubi gives them more revolutionary stature; and two, the regime did not succeed in outshining the demonstrators because once again it had to resort to violence and not just the outnumbering the protesters. The news of the brutality will ruin the image of a populist government that the regime wants to display. This is a regime that prides itself in its ability to rally masses on these occasions. Today it has thus lost more credibility. If no further developments or revelations occur, the opposition needs to rethink its strategy of demonstrating on official and permitted days when the regime has time to plan and clamp down on its moves. Also it will become more apparent that in the face of such regime tactics and brutality more organization and leadership is needed. We have lost our fear but we need to know where to go with our newfound courage!
Posted via web from lissping
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