Tuesday, 30 October 2012

The Latest from Iran (30 October): Tehran's Mixed Messages

0717 GMT: Nuclear Watch. We are also looking at mixed messages on another front this morning, with an anlaysis "The Regime Tells the US, 'You Are Plotting Against Us --- Let's Talk'".

An EA correspondent offers an explanation for the argument within the regime leading to the different signals:

One faction, including the head of police Esmail Ahmadi Moghaddam and the head of the Revolutionary Guards Mohammad Ali Jafari, want to emphasise the possibility of war with the US and Israel.

However, the Larijanis --- including Speaker of Parliament Ali and head of judiciary Sadegh --- and advisors like Morteza Nabavi --- are pressing for negotiations.

0710 GMT: Joanna Paraszchuk, writing for The Jerusalem Post, follows up our Monday theme about the regime's public message --- "We Will Defeat the Sanctions, The Sanctions Are Killing Us" --- with an article, "Iran Sends Mixed Messages on Effect of Sanctions":

Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and military leaders have not digressed from the message that Iran can overcome sanctions.

However, Iran’s state press, particularly its English-language channels whose messages are aimed at a Western audience, has started to report that the embargoes are causing severe humanitarian issues.

Paraszchuk concludes with EA's analysis:

While the overall line – set by the supreme leader – is supposed to be the triumph of the "resistance economy", there has been increasing concern as economic problems have escalated and this has fueled political tensions.

So whereas [President] Ahmadinejad was saying earlier this year that sanctions were no more than a scrap of paper and others...had been saying that the West and Europe would suffer most, there is now an acknowledgement that the "economic war" is taking a toll.


from EA WorldView: EA Iran

Posted via email from lissping

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