Saturday, 30 June 2012

Iran 1st-Hand: The Squeeze of the Sanctions (Davari)

Mohammad Davari writes for AFP:


Leila is getting pretty good at playing Angry Birds on her imported iPhone. Sitting behind her desk in an idle travel agency in central Tehran, she often has nothing better to do these days.


 "As you can see, business isn't so good," she says, gesturing at the drab, empty office.

"Last summer, I was constantly on the phone arguing with customers why there were no last-minute tickets available. Now, on a good day -- if we're lucky -- we might barely get to sell to capacity on a flight."

Leila is a 26-year-old with a mechanical engineering degree who is overqualified for her job. Like other Iranians interviewed for this story, she declined to give her last name.

She is one of a legion of young Tehranis whose struggle to stay in Iran's middle class is becoming increasingly more difficult because of the country's economic straits made much worse by EU and US sanctions.

Travel is one of the first luxuries the middle class is sacrificing. 

"It's the price of the dollar. A lot of people can't afford to travel as frequently," Leila says, explaining that tour prices have doubled since a year ago and the number of travellers has fallen to a third.

Iran has been losing ground in its constant battle to keep a lid on inflation after its currency, the rial, lost more than half of its value against the dollar over the past year, a slide accelerated in the first few days of 2012 after the sanctions were announced.

Iranians travelling abroad often have no access to internationally accepted credit cards because of sanctions restricting financial transactions.

Instead, they have to take dollars in cash -- and are restricted to some 1,000 dollars a year at the official bank rate of 12,260 rials to the dollar, instead of the much pricier 19,000 rials found with street money-changers.

Many Iranians are divided between blaming the West or their own government's economic policies for their predicament.

A 2010 decision by President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to scrap subsidies for fuel and other basic needs, tempered by cash hand-outs to most of the population, is pointed to by some as a key driver of inflation, officially at 20 percent but put by independent analysts at much higher.

Ardeshir, a 60-something former artillery officer in the 1980-1988 Iran-Iraq war, says "the world powers are bullying us" over Iran's nuclear programme, which is generally supported by the population.

But the veteran, who now makes ends meet by driving a scuffed Kia for a private taxi service, also has some criticism for the provocation Ahmadinejad frequently lobs at the West and Israel.

"Since Mr Ahmadinejad started that fiasco about the Holocaust -- saying it didn't exist, that it was a myth --- he gave them a convenient excuse," he says as he inches forward in the city's brutally dense traffic.

The United States and its Western allies "now say Iran wants to build a bomb and use it to destroy Israel," he says, deliberately moving his knee injured in the war. "It's a dilemma really. I despise bullies, but I don't know if I should be angry with the statesmen pulling the strings or not.

"Now, I have to work for 12, sometimes 15, hours a day if I want to continue to pay for my daughter's university fees," he says angrily.

Read full article....

from EA WorldView: EA Iran

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